The quarterly exam.
The past three weeks have been “earnings season,” with public companies announcing CY 2025 results and hosting the ritual of the quarterly earnings call. Often, the most informative elements of these calls are revealed in the analyst Q&A, following the prepared remarks. A few themes worth noting reflect strategic challenges and expectations. These include:
The Everything Exchange: Crypto spot, derivatives, equities, commodities, debt, prediction markets, etc.
Liquidity Begets Liquidity: As exemplified by Coinbase’s acquisition of Deribit, scale matters in network businesses.
Revenue Diversification: Complementing trading-related revenue (with its inherent volatility) and defending against potential take-rate compression.
Stablecoin Payments Volume: Rising quickly, and now AI agents need a way to pay too.
Regulation: Driving the ability to operate globally and providing legitimacy that draws in traditional financial institutions, which are cautious by nature.
Each represents a driver of mergers and acquisitions.